Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Polls: Trump’s approval among white voters turns negative for the first time in his presidency

Marquette’s new national survey shows Donald Trump’s overall job approval is now underwater, even among white voters, meaning more white respondents disapprove of his performance than approve for the first time in this series of his presidency.

What the Marquette poll shows

In the January 21–28 Marquette Law School national poll, Trump’s overall job rating is 42% approve, and 58% disapprove, a net −16 nationally. The Marquette poll also shows that 49 percent of white non-Hispanic adults approve of President Trump’s performance in office, while 50 percent disapprove. The survey was conducted among 1,003 U.S. adults and carries a margin of error of ±3.4 percentage points.

Is the Marquette poll an outlier?

No. In addition to the numbers detailed in the crosstabs of Marquette’s poll, a new poll from Fox News finds that President Donald Trump’s approval among white voters without a college degree has dropped to 49 percent, with 51 percent disapproving. And if he’s not gaining support from white voters without a college degree, he’s likely losing among those with a college degree.

This drop marks a symbolic break with the pattern from 2016–2024, when even as his overall numbers were weak, he usually held a positive margin with white voters, especially non‑college whites.

If replicated, this would imply less cushion for Trump in key House and Senate battlegrounds that rely heavily on overperformance with white voters.

Incidentally, we published the following story a few days ago. And it only adds credibility to Trump’s current perceived popularity among whites.

TRUMP, TAKE HEED: Blue-collar workers are beginning to lose patience with the president.

author avatar
Lee Cleveland
Lee is the Editor-in-Chief and founder of 2026PREDICT.com (predictionsandodds.com)—a cutting-edge platform dedicated to analyzing and tracking the accuracy of prediction markets and forecasting models.

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